Open Access Open Access  Restricted Access Subscription or Fee Access

Modeling Motorcycle Road Accidents with Traffic Offenses at Several Potential Locations using Negative Binomial Regression model in Malaysia

M.S. Sapuan, A.M. Razali, Z.H. Zamzuri

Abstract



The major contributor to the total number of road accidents in Malaysia is the motorcycle road accidents. In this study, the relationship between motorcyclist road traffic offenses and the number of accidents at several places will be determined using the statistical generalized linear model. Negative binomial regression analysis was used as an alternative model other than Poisson. The model was validated using the Pearson chi-square tests, the method of deviance, the Akaike information criterion, and the Bayesian information criterion. The goodness of fit test shows that the negative binomial model is the best model, and it helps with overcoming the overdispersion problem, resulting in better estimation. The results also indicate that `turning dangerously` was the most common traffic offense of motorcyclists. The most likely location for motorcycle accidents to happen is in a `residential area`.

Keywords


Poisson regression model, negative binomial regression model, road accident, accident factors, accident places.

Full Text:

PDF

Refbacks

  • There are currently no refbacks.


Disclaimer/Regarding indexing issue:

We have provided the online access of all issues and papers to the indexing agencies (as given on journal web site). It’s depend on indexing agencies when, how and what manner they can index or not. Hence, we like to inform that on the basis of earlier indexing, we can’t predict the today or future indexing policy of third party (i.e. indexing agencies) as they have right to discontinue any journal at any time without prior information to the journal. So, please neither sends any question nor expects any answer from us on the behalf of third party i.e. indexing agencies.Hence, we will not issue any certificate or letter for indexing issue. Our role is just to provide the online access to them. So we do properly this and one can visit indexing agencies website to get the authentic information.