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Application of Vector Auto Regression Model for Evaluate China’s low-carbon Economic Growth

Qing-yi Chen

Abstract



With the rapid development of China’s economy, coal-based energy consumption has increased dramatically. However, China's current energy economic efficiency is still at the lower stage; how to improve the energy efficiency has became the most important policy concerns. In this paper, we first put forward a Low-carbon economy growth model and proved that technological innovation is the main factor to achieve the low-carbon economy growth, then we make a VAR model by using China's financial development and energy efficiency data from 1990-2010, test results show that the financial development will promote energy efficiency. The Granger causality test shows that financial development and the energy efficiency has obvious causality.


Keywords


Time series analysis, energy efficiency, VAR model, cointegration test

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